Biden Should Declare NATO Membership Closed
A Russian invasion of Ukraine and the war that would inevitably follow would be a disaster for Ukraine and Russia, but also for Europe and the United States.
In 2014, when Russian President Vladimir Putin responded to a U. S. -backed coup that will ousted a pro-Russian routine in Kyiv by occupying Crimea, President Barack Obama did nothing.
When Putin assisted secessionists in the Donbass within seizing Luhansk and Donetsk, once again, Obama did absolutely nothing.
Why did we not come to the military assistance of Ukraine?
Because Ukraine is not a member of NATO. We had no obligation to come to its aid. And to have intervened militarily quietly of Ukraine would have risked a war with Russia we had no desire to fight.
Last year, when Putin marshaled 100, 000 Russian troops on the edges of Ukraine, President Joe Biden declared that any kind of U. S. response to a Russian invasion would be restricted to severe sanctions.
The U. S. would take no military action in support of Ukraine.
Why don’t you enjoy? Because, again, Ukraine is not really a member of NATO.
Clearly, by its inaction, America is exposing its refusal to danger its own security in a war with Russia over a Ukraine whose sovereignty and territorial integrity are not vital U. S. interests sufficient to justify war with the biggest country on earth with its massive arsenal of nuclear weaponry.
This is the real-world.
And as Ukraine is not a NATO friend, and we are not going to invite it to become a NATO ally, Biden should declare so openly, urbi et orbi, to get rid of Putin’s pretext for any intrusion.
Biden has already declared that we will not place offensive weapons in Ukraine. If, by declaring that we have no intention of expanding NATO further east by admitting Ukraine or Georgia, we can provide Putin having an off-ramp from this crisis that he created, why not do it?
Speaking last week, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said, “ They must realize that the key to everything is the guarantee that NATO is not going to expand eastward. ”
If what Lavrov said is true — that this “ key” for Moscow, the crucial demand, is that the eastward expansion of NATO stop, and Ukraine and Atlanta never join the Oughout. S. -led alliance designed to contain Moscow — we all ought to accede to the requirement.
If this leads to Putin to keep his military out of Ukraine, admitting the facts will have avoided an unnecessary war. If Putin invades anyway, the world will know whom to hold accountable.
The purposes of the Biden declaration would be simple: to tell the truth about what we will and will not do. To remove Putin’s pretext for war. To give Putin an off-ramp from any contemplated invasion, if he or she is looking for one.
A Russian invasion of Ukraine and the war that would inevitably follow would be a disaster designed for Ukraine and Russia, also for Europe and the United States. It might ignite a second Cold War, the winner of which would be China, to whom The ussr would be forced to turn financially and strategically.
Thus, to avert the war, Biden should announce what is the truth:
“ Ukraine is not a member of NATO, and neither we nor our allies have any intention or even plans to bring Ukraine straight into NATO or to give Kyiv an Article 5 war ensure. ”
Exactly the same holds for Georgia within the Caucasus. We did not arrive at Tbilisi’s defense when it invaded South Ossetia in 2008 and was driven out by Putin. And we are not going to give Georgia any Content 5 war guarantee. Frankly, the time has come to declare that will NATO will expand simply no further east and that NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION enlargement is at an end.
No more former republics of the Russian Federation — not Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, Belarus or Kazakhstan — will be admitted to a NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION alliance whose roster is fixed to present membership.
Indeed, if the purpose of NATO is the defense of Europe from a revanchist Russia, why would we extend NATO so far to the east it provokes Russia into attacking its neighbors in Europe?
With Russia having issued virtual ultimata, our objective has to be to prevent a catastrophe war that an invasion of Ukraine would ignite.
Such an invasion of Ukraine, a country of more than 40 million, would inevitably end with Kyiv’s defeat. And the longer Ukraine resisted and the fiercer it fought, the greater the number of dead and wounded on both sides and the more enduring the hatred and hostility that would be created between them.
Already, Americans in official circles are reportedly discussing aid to Ukrainians in fighting a guerrilla war against Russian occupation troops.
There is another issue here, and that is the morality of not doing all we can to avoid an invasion and its consequent war.
Would it be moral for the United States to provide arms for a bloody insurgency if there were no realistic chance of quickly expelling the Russian invaders?
Given his problems in Belarus and Kazakhstan, Putin cannot be anticipating happily the military occupation of millions of Ukrainians.
Ending NATO enlargement could be a victory for all of us.
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