Futurist and inventor Ray Kurzweil wrote a good essay in 2001, “ The Law of Accelerating Returns , ” that describes an exponential path to what for many is an unimaginable future.
How certain is the exponential he describes? “ We might have to repeal capitalism each visage of economic competitors to stop this progression, ” he says.
In today’s world of collapsing currencies and anticapitalistic agendas, that repeal is well underway. Will the exponential be allowed to advantage mankind or will all of us regress to stagnation plus slavery under globalist rule?
The Exponential Explained
According to Kurzweil:
Exponential growth is a feature of any kind of evolutionary process, of which technology is a primary example. One can examine the data in different ways, on different time weighing scales, and for a wide variety of technologies which range from electronic to biological, and the acceleration of progress plus growth applies. Indeed, we find not just simple exponential development, but “ double” exponential growth, meaning that the rate of exponential growth is by itself growing exponentially.
Moore’s law— the particular exponential shrinking of transistor sizes on an integrated circuit— is thought to be nearly associated with this observation, but in fact, it is only one sort of what Kurzweil calls “ a rich model of technical processes. ” This has been ongoing “ since the creation of evolution on Earth. ”
His analysis shows that although “ exponential styles did exist a thousand years ago, they were at that extremely early stage where an exponential trend is so level that it looks like no tendency at all. ”
Humans live in the linear world, he reminds us, and often believe improvement will continue at the present price. This is not surprising, since any kind of sufficiently short period on an rapid scale will be experienced because linear. “ Even sophisticated commentators, when considering the future, extrapolate the current pace of alter over the next 10 years or 100 years to determine their anticipation. ”
The entire impact of exponential development can be seen in the story of the inventor of chess and his patron, the emperor of China.
In response to the emperor’s offer of a incentive for his new precious game, the inventor asked for a single grain of grain on the first square, two on the second square, four on the third, and so on. The particular Emperor quickly granted this particular seemingly benign and very humble request.
One particular version of the story has got the emperor going bankrupt as the 63 doublings ultimately totaled 18 million trillion grains of rice. At ten grains of rice for each square inch, this requires rice fields covering twice the area area of the Earth, oceans included. Another version of the tale has the inventor losing their head.
Where does exponential development take us?
It will appear to increase into infinity, at least from your limited and linear viewpoint of contemporary humans. The progress will ultimately become so fast that it will rupture our ability to follow it. It will literally get out of our control. The particular illusion that we have our hand “ on the plug, ” will be dispelled. (my emphasis)
This individual calls the point of exploding market the Singularity:
It represents the particular nearly vertical phase of exponential growth where the price of growth is so extreme that technology appears to be expanding at infinite speed. Of course , from a mathematical perspective, there is absolutely no discontinuity, no rupture, as well as the growth rates remain limited, albeit extraordinarily large. But from our currently limited viewpoint, this imminent event seems to be an acute and rushed break in the continuity of progress.
However , I emphasize the word “ currently, ” because one of the salient effects of the Singularity will be a change in the nature of our ability to understand. In other words, we will turn out to be vastly smarter as we combine with our technology. (my emphasis)
How imminent may be the Singularity? In his magnum opus The Singularity Is Near Kurzweil sets the entire year 2045 for its arrival. “ The nonbiological intelligence developed in that year will be one billion times more powerful than all human intelligence today…. Despite the clear predominance of nonbiological intelligence by the mid-2040s, ours will still be a human being civilization. We will transcend biology, but not our humanity. ”
Advancements in nanotechnology will bring tools to “ rebuild the actual world— our bodies and minds included— molecular fragment by molecular fragment, potentially atom by atom. ”
By creating universal abundance, nanotech will diminish the reasons for “ damaging the peace. ”
Kurzweil’s Batting Average
For all those wishing to assign Kurzweil the status of crackpot, have a look at his “ How My Predictions Are Faring , ” which he or she published in 2010.
Of the 147 predictions, Kurzweil claimed that 115 had been “ entirely correct, ” 12 were “ essentially correct, ” 17 were “ partially correct”, and only 3 were “ wrong. ” Combining the “ entirely” and “ essentially” correct, Kurzweil’s claimed accuracy rate relates to 86 percent. ( Wikipedia ).
Read it plus judge for yourself. There are good reasons why he’s received twenty honorary doctorates. He became a successful entrepreneur by applying their knowledge of exponential trends.
The Implosion of the Current World Order
Students of revisionist history and free-market economics understand exactly what is at stake in today’s world. The actions associated with governments in accordance with Event 201, which inflicted a globally totalitarian response to a malware; the stated aims from the World Economic Forum, within which by 2030 can be left of humanity can be happy slaves of an top notch; the extinction of fiat monetary systems brought to spoil by central bank counterfeiting; governments defaulting on their debt and unable to pay their own employees— all of this and more will certainly create a world of possibility perhaps never before seen.
Freedom and free markets will emerge by default if not by purpose.
Market-chosen cash ( or monies ) will help rescue the world economy.
With the need for defense of private property, the market will provide solutions in accordance with treatises such as Hans-Hermann Hoppe’s The Private Production of Defense and others.
I need to mention that these are usually my views, not Ray Kurzweil’s.
The future will not be man vs government terminators, but rather technically enhanced humans prospering collectively.
The state, which will still exist only if we fail ourselves, will be relegated to the dark chambers of history.