Global warming paused, polar bears thriving, more coral on the Great Barrier Reef than you can wring a stick at – it’s been a difficult gig to get climate alarmists of late.
Yet there is always the melting Arctic ice, and the prospect from the Greenland ice sheet slipping off its perch plus ending up in your front room. Unfortunately, even that old standby is looking shaky, along with evidence gathering that the glaciers is no longer melting as fast as recently. On August 16th, summer season sea ice in the Frosty was at its third highest extent since 3 years ago.
According to the Oughout. S. -based National Snow and Ice Data Centre (NSIDC), the particular northern sea route along Eurasia “ may not turn out to be ice free” this year pertaining to the first time considering that 2007 . Preliminary estimations by NSIDC suggest the 30% chance that ocean ice will cover five million square kilometres, something that has not happened for eight years.
The chilling trend has been apparent for a while. Earlier this year, the Every day Sceptic reported that this coverage of Arctic sea ice was now very close to the 1991-2020 average, properly above the 2012 low point and higher within 2021 than the previous year. According to Copernicus, the EU’s weather service, the 2021 March sea ice degree was just 3% beneath the 30-year average. 03 is the maximum extent associated with sea ice in the Frosty. Recent figures show Mar 2022 was slightly higher. In his recent Global Warming Policy Foundation weather report , Emeritus Professor Ole Humlum noted: “ The trend towards stable or more ice extent at each poles probably began in 2018 and has since heightened. ” Observational records associated with Arctic ice go back to the start of the 1800s, and display moving cycles of both temperature and ice level.
As if on cue – how much longer can we all run this stuff? – the Guardian and the Washington Publish happened to run stories about the Greenland glaciers sheet melting and leading to major sea level rises. Research published in Nature Climate Change journal was believed to have shown that “ global heating to date” may cause sea levels to rise simply by 27 cms, as a stated 110 trillion tonnes associated with ice will melt. Extra helpings of alarmism were also available. Cherry-picking the one-off record melt yr of 2012, and presuming it will become a “ normal occurrence”, delivers a “ staggering” 78 cms sea level rise. And as issue was not enough, the Guardian also reported that “ other scientists” had warned that a substantial part of the Greenland ice linen “ was on the edge of a tipping point”.
Back on Planet Sanity, the U. S i9000. meteorologist Anthony Watts noted which the claims of Greenland glaciers melt raising sea amounts “ are just modelled hokum”. The assertion that ocean levels would rise simply by 27 cms was “ false and easily disproven”. In his view, it is the “ same old scare tale ” we were told by the UN in 1989, in which a senior UN environment official warned that whole nations could be wiped from the face of the earth simply by rising sea levels if the global warming trend was not reversed by 2000.
Watts information that there is no time frame for the 27 cm of stated rise (although the writers of the paper suggest it might happen between now plus 2100). How can peer evaluated climate science be so imprecise? He notes that 110 trillion tonnes is usually ” scary” for most people, nevertheless actual recent ice reduction is compared to the full Greenland ice sheet, the loss has been said to be so small “ that it is almost undetectable”.
In a related article , Watts says that climate activists, including government bureaucrats, claimed that the ice sheet had been melting six times faster than it was 30 years ago. This claim, improved in order to seven times, was recently repeated by He McGrath and the BBC. But 30 years back, the Greenland ice sheet was barely melting in any way. “ Six times almost no ice loss is barely an example of a climate alter crisis, ” observes W. Over the last couple of decades, promises of Greenland ice burning have been used to bolster concerns of runaway sea level rises, says Watts. He adds that satellite images and recordings going back to 1993 show sea ranges rising at a mere 1 ) 2 inches per decade, and this is not significantly dissimilar to typical rises recorded because the mid-1800s.
Of course , all these scare stories are usually politicised science pushing the command-and-control Net Zero plan. Let us put it in a broader paleoclimatic frame to see how dramatic effects are at some point produced by natural variation. A fascinating paper has just been published by two glaciologists in the us, Laura Larocca and Yarrow Axford, that found that over half of the Arctic’s glaciers and ice caps (GICs) that exist today failed to exist or were smaller 10, 000 to a few, 400 years ago. At the time, atmospheric carbon dioxide ranged between 260 to 270 parts per million, compared to the current 410 ppm.
The particular paper is summarised by the No Tricks Area science web site, which notes that 80% or more GICs were smaller sized than today, or lacking from 7, 900 in order to 4, 500 years ago. This was noted to be the peak from the interglacial Arctic warmth, whenever temperatures were many degrees warmer than they are nowadays.
The Arctic’s modern ice extent is certainly “ among the largest from the last 10, 000 years”, it is reported. The largest GIC extent of the Holocene continues to be seen in the last millennium. This is said to suggest that any reduction in GICs in the last few centuries “ is but a partial return to a former amount of much greater warmth”.
Hold the front page: Treble tipping points complete.